Negotiating hard and keeping the relationship

A negotiation you will repeat for ten years is a different game from one you will never repeat, and the difference lives in the order of the moves, not in the softness of the ask.

The idea

You can be hard on the number and easy on the person, but only if you sequence it. State the constraint before the demand. Give the reason. Give notice in proportion to the size of the change. Never let a cut arrive first as an email.

The ask itself is not what damages a supplier relationship. A 40% volume cut is a 40% volume cut whether you open with it or close with it, and the number you reach is roughly the same either way. What differs is what the ask cost you: whether they could still plan around it, whether they know it was your budget rather than their quality, and whether they will tell you the truth next time you need something from them.

That last part is the whole reason to care. In a relationship you will renegotiate every year, goodwill is not sentiment. It is the thing that converts into information, into capacity when you are short, and into a better opening position in round four.

Interactive

Three rounds with Kessler Tooling

Nine years of supply. Your board cut the program 40%, so 40% of this volume has to come off their line. You get three moves. Pick three of the six, in any order, and watch both meters.

commercial outcome nothing moved yet 40
Commercial outcome meter

opening position 40last run

the relationship intact, nine years 78
Relationship meter

opening position 78last run

round 1waiting
round 2waiting
round 3waiting

Round one. Nothing has been said yet, and both meters are at their opening position. Any of the six moves is available, including the ask.

Run it cold, then run it in order. The ask reaches almost the same number both times. The relationship meter does not, and the marked line shows you where the previous run finished.

How it works

The sequence below is the whole method. None of the steps make the ask smaller. They change what the ask costs.

  1. Decide whether this is a repeated game. One transaction and never again, and you can play the number. A supplier you will renegotiate every year for a decade is the other game, and in that game the process is the product.
  2. Give notice in proportion to the change. A price review needs a week. Half their volume needs a quarter, because a quarter is roughly what it takes them to go and find replacement work. Notice is not a courtesy. It is the difference between a cut they can absorb and a cut that lands on their payroll.
  3. State the constraint before the demand. "Our program budget was cut 40% in June" is checkable, and it arrives before the number rather than after it. A reason offered after the ask is heard as justification, which is worth much less.
  4. Say the ask is not a verdict on them. Out loud, in one sentence: this is our budget, not your quality. Suppliers assume every cut is a scorecard until you tell them otherwise, and a supplier who thinks they have been graded starts protecting themselves instead of solving with you.
  5. Make the ask plainly, once, with the number in it. Vagueness is not kindness. "We need to look at volumes" makes them guess low and hear it twice. Say 40%, say when, and stop talking.
  6. Say what remains and what would bring it back. A cut with no floor sounds like the beginning of an exit. "You keep the 60%, it is committed for 24 months, and the line comes back if the program is refunded" is a different conversation from the same 40%.
  7. Ask what it does to them, and mean it. This is not softness. It is the cheapest information you will get all year: which of their costs are fixed, what their real capacity floor is, whether they can re-time it. You only get the honest version if the first five steps went well.
  8. Trade something cheap for you and valuable for them. Term, volume certainty, a faster payment cycle, a forecast they can actually plan against, fewer emergency changes. These often cost you very little and are worth real money to a supplier with a working capital problem.
  9. Never let the cut arrive first as an email. Size the channel to the size of the change. Half the volume is said in person, by the person who owns the decision, before any system sends a purchase order that says it for you.

The arithmetic behind the demo

Every number in the interactive comes from this table, so you can audit it. The ask moves the commercial meter by the same 26 points every time. Only its relationship cost changes.

opening position                number 40        relationship 78

run one, delivered cold
  make the ask             +26  ->  66      -22  ->  56
  name the alternative     +16  ->  82      -10  ->  46
  ask about their side     +11  ->  93       +9  ->  55
                                =======           =======
                                     93                55

run two, in order
  state the constraint      +5  ->  45       +6  ->  84
  make the ask             +26  ->  71      -13  ->  71
  offer something back     +14  ->  85      +15  ->  82  (held at the ceiling)
                                =======           =======
                                     85                82

the ask, three ways
  cold, no warning and no reason        +26        -22
  with one of the two                   +26        -13
  after notice AND a reason             +26         -6

Two of the moves are not fixed at all. What a supplier tells you, and what they will do with a trade, both scale with the meter, which is the mechanism the whole page is about:

ask about their side  ->  2 + round(20 x relationship / 100)
offer something back  ->  4 + round(14 x relationship / 100)

at relationship 46:  side = 2 + 9  = 11
at relationship 71:  back = 4 + 10 = 14

And a cold ask sets a ceiling. Once you have surprised someone, nothing you say in the same meeting takes the relationship back above 65. With one of notice or a reason, the ceiling is 82. With both, there is no ceiling, because there was no surprise to repair.

The repair, which is the part people skip

A hard round is not over when the meeting ends. Three things actually rebuild the meter, and none of them happen in the room.

The internal half

Half of these negotiations are lost inside your own building, to a stakeholder who wants a harder line than the relationship can carry. Arguing tone with them does not work, because tone is not their currency. Price it in theirs.

When to use it

Six situations these questions actually contain, and the move each one wants.

The trade-off in one line: every one of these moves buys a smaller number today than the hardest available version, and buys back the ability to ask again next year. If you are certain there is no next year, the calculation genuinely changes. Most people are less certain than they sound.

Watch out for

Worked example

The question is usually some version of this: "Tell me about a time you had to take a lot of cost or volume out of a strategic supplier. How did you handle it?" A weak answer describes the tactics used to win the number. A strong one describes the order of the conversation, and then prices what it cost.

Here is the shape. Nine year supplier, roughly 15% of your category spend, and you are about 55% of the revenue on the line that makes your part. Your program budget is cut 40% in June, effective in the third quarter. You call their commercial lead the same week the decision is made, before anything is in a system, and say the volumes are going to move, the number is not final, and you will have it in ten days. That call moves no money at all. What it does is let them keep a shift busy on other work rather than discover the gap when a purchase order changes.

Ten days later you go and see them. You state the constraint first, with the actual board decision and the date, then say plainly that this is your budget and not their quality, because they will assume the opposite. Then the number: 40% off the line from the third quarter. Then the floor, immediately: the remaining 60% is committed for 24 months, and the volume returns if the program is refunded. Then you stop and ask what a 40% cut does to them, and you listen to the answer, which is where you learn that a third quarter start costs them a shift but a fourth quarter start does not, because another program ramps in October.

So you phase it: 20% in the third quarter, the rest in the fourth. That costs your budget one quarter of savings and costs them no layoffs. In exchange you ask for the thing that is cheap for them and valuable for you, a firmer price hold across the 24 months, and you give them the thing that is cheap for you and valuable for them, 30 day payment terms instead of 60. You did not get the full 40% in the third quarter. You got the cut, the price hold, a supplier who now tells you about their capacity problems early, and an opening position next year that is not a repair job.

Then the part that makes the answer sound senior rather than tidy: name what it cost and what you would watch. You gave up one quarter of savings, which you had to defend internally against a stakeholder who wanted the whole cut immediately, and you defended it in supply risk and switching cost rather than in tone. You also concentrated more spend on a supplier where you are already 55% of a line, so the standing action is to qualify a second source deliberately and openly over the next year, with them knowing, rather than as a lever produced in the next negotiation.

Check yourself

A supplier you rely on is visibly heading into financial trouble. Your finance team wants another 8% off, and the market data supports it. What is the strongest move?

Pick one to see a coach note.

You are roughly 60% of a supplier's revenue and you need to move 30% of the volume elsewhere. Which move protects both the saving and the supply?

Pick one to see a coach note.