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Judgment & ambiguity · Decisions under uncertainty

A supplier is in a dispute with the company and legal says the outcome is genuinely uncertain — could be nothing, could be a material payout. You have to decide whether to accrue a loss contingency, disclose it, or neither. What do you decide with the information you have?

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I decide from the probability and estimability framework, and I don't land it until I've pushed legal for a real assessment.

The full answer: structure, worked example, likely follow-up.

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