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Judgment & ambiguity · Calibrating confidence

After a proof-of-concept, the client asks whether your recommended cloud architecture will hold up at their full production scale — but your POC ran at 5% of that load and you extrapolated the rest. How do you answer?

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I answer by drawing a clear line between what I've measured and what I've modeled, because conflating them is how architects get surprised in production.

The full answer: structure, worked example, likely follow-up.

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