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Judgment & ambiguity · Decisions under uncertainty

Mid-flight you get an intermittent engine indication — an EGT reading that spikes and recovers, with no corroborating vibration or fuel-flow change and no ECAM message. The nearest suitable airport is thirty minutes back; your destination is ninety ahead. What do you decide, and on what basis?

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One noisy parameter with no corroboration is a sensor question until proven otherwise, but I don't dismiss it — I bias toward preserving options.

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