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Judgment & ambiguity · Decisions under uncertainty

You're provisioning server capacity for launch and your pre-order and wishlist numbers give you a wide range — under-provision and players hit queues, over-provision and you burn budget on idle fleet. Where do you set it, and on what basis?

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The two failure modes aren't symmetric, so I don't just aim at the midpoint.

The full answer: structure, worked example, likely follow-up.

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