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Judgment & ambiguity · Calibrating confidence

You're giving a delivery date for a migration off a legacy system that's poorly documented and has no test coverage. Leadership wants a single date. How do you answer, and how sure are you allowed to sound?

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I refuse to give a single date as if it were certain, because the honest answer to 'how sure' is 'not very, and here's why' — no docs and no tests means the unknowns are unknown, a…

The full answer: structure, worked example, likely follow-up.

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